Posts Tagged ‘Bank Of America’
Guest Post: The Empire’s Next Effort To Extract Your Wealth

Authored by Addison Wiggin via Laissez Faire Club blog,

Since before the tech bust, we’ve been suggesting that while Americans “think” they’re getting richer… they’re actually heading in the other direction. They’re getting poorer.

(Read more…)

This proposition has been easier for folks to entertain since housing busted and the financial crisis reversed the “wealth effect” in 2008. With that in mind, let’s take a look at the logic of the American Empire and what you can expect in the year(s) ahead.

“Great empires, such as the Roman and British, were extractive,” economist Paul Craig Roberts observed recently. “The empires succeeded because the value of the resources and wealth extracted from conquered lands exceeded the value of conquest and governance.”

We explored a similar theme in our 2006 book, Empire of Debt. But unlike empires of the past, the American Empire has a logic all its own.

“America’s wars are very expensive,” says Roberts, stating the obvious. “Bush and Obama have doubled the national debt, and the American people have no benefits from it. No riches, no bread and circuses flow to Americans from Washington’s wars.”

In the big Iraqi oil auction of 2009, for example, even as U.S. helicopters droned overhead, the oil minister gave out zero contracts to American firms. Not one. And we spent at least $3 trillion on war — $2.9 trillion more than Team Bush’s original budget. So much for paying for war with “oil profits.”

Russia was actually the big winner here. So what gives? The American Empire has perverted the Roman mantra “Veni, vidi, vici” (I came, I saw, I conquered) into the odd imperial slogan, “We came, we saw… we borrowed!”

The results from this turn of phrase are less than desirable. Again Roberts:

Washington’s empire extracts resources from the American people for the benefit of the few powerful interest groups that rule America. The military-security complex, Wall Street, agribusiness and the Israel lobby use the government to extract resources from Americans to serve their profits and power. The U.S. Constitution has been extracted in the interests of the Security State, and Americans’ incomes have been redirected to the pockets of the 1%.

 

“That is how the American Empire functions,”

We agree. To grow, the American Empire is always looking to inflate the next bubble. These serial bubbles each have the effect of “extracting” wealth from the citizens — in the form of bigger mortgages, heftier credit card statements and stuffed stock portfolios. The “extracted” money is, over time, passed from the wallets of citizens to the pockets of the well connected.

For confirmation of this assertion we need look no further than the top o’ the 1%, the Oracle of Omaha. Peter Schweizer of Reason reckoned in an exposè published last year on Warren Buffett that this folksy fellow “needed the TARP bailout more than most.”

Let’s run through the numbers. Berkshire Hathaway firms in total received $95 billion in TARP money. Berkshire, you’ll recall, held stock in Wells Fargo, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs and American Express. Not only did these companies receive TARP funds… they also dipped into the FDIC’s treasury to back their debt. Total bailout: $130 billion. TARP-enabled companies accounted for 30% of the Oracle’s publicly disclosed stock portfolio.

He’s definitely one of the top beneficiaries of the big bank bailout. And to sharpen the sting, he even got a better deal to help ailing Goldman Sachs than our own government. Buffett got a 10% preferred dividend while the Feds got all of 5%. He cleaned up with $500 million a year in dividends. Without the bailout, you can bet many of his stock holdings would have gone near-zero instead.

Contrast that with a blog post from Rosemarie Jackowski, a community activist at Dissident Voice. She’s describes her experiences working with the underclass in a small town in Vermont.

“In Bennington, there are three very distinct classes,” writes Jackowski. “First, there are the ‘fancy people.’ They are the ones who rule and control everything. They are on the boards — the hospital board, the library board, the select board, the school boards. They have the power — even the power over life and death. They, occasionally during a medical crisis in the hospital, make the decision to pull the plug or allow life to go on.”

We hear you. At first, we were prepared to dismiss the piece as another bleeding heart diatribe… but she goes on to describe a theme very familiar to our readers.

Then there is the large group of ordinary citizens. Some are blue-collar workers. Most work hard. Love their families. And have had family in Vermont for generations. They acknowledge the class system in conversation often. They call it the ol’ boys network — cronyism.

The third group consists of those who are in need. Those on the bottom of the economic pile. At the conference, some of the most-impressive comments were made by a poor mother of two disabled children. She talked about the oppressive avalanche of redundant paperwork required to get any tiny benefit. The social services system is designed by nameless, faceless, unelected bureaucrats. It is setup to assure maximum job security to the workers in the system. To a struggling family, it often feels like an attack of the “paper churners.” Being poor is a full-time job.

More and more “ordinary citizens” are faced with the challenge of joining this third group of government dependents… or choosing to join the ranks “nameless, faceless, unelected bureaucrats” just to survive.

Case in point: “In the most recent Census,” writes co-author Samantha Buker in The Little Book of the Shrinking Dollar, “48% of America qualifies as ‘low income.’ There are more Americans living under extreme poverty than have ever been recorded.

“Since 2009, we’ve added another 4 million souls to the category of low income to below the poverty line. That’s 146 million people in America who aren’t consuming much aside from ever-increasing applications for food stamps.”

In November 2008, food stamp applicants topped 30 million for the first time in history. We’re still posting “record highs,” having added over 16 million more names (and counting…) to the food stamp list.

Does this sound like a nation of ripe, robust citizens ready to be drained for the benefit of the national coffers? Au contraire. Sounds like another case in which our Empire will hand out more than it’s taking in.

Again.

In her post, Ms. Jackowski provides a list of 35 ways poverty robs you of your dignity. Here are just a few:

“Poverty means living with shame.”

 

“Poverty means working three jobs and still not ‘making it.’”

 

“Poverty means that you go to work when you are sick. Worse than that, you send your children to school when they are sick.”

 

“Sometimes poverty means that you skip meals so that your children can eat.”

 

“Poverty means that your housing is never secure…”

 

“Poverty means following all of the rules. Then graduating with oppressive student debt so that the president of UVM can be paid $447,000 per year.”

It’s Jackowski’s final mention of extraction – the student debt fiasco – that worries us. This bubble that has already taken flight. Now it’s flying dangerously close to a few pins.

Just like with housing, this is one hell of a bubble. And when it bursts, it’ll invite another crew of crony capitalists to the Beltway, who will soon be lining up for bailouts. I urge you to grip your wallet with both hands and prepare for the worse.

    



 
Eric Sprott: The Golden Answer To Chinese Import Data

Submitted by Eric Sprott, Etienne Bordeleau, and David Franklin of Sprott Group,

Manufacturing data in the last several months has suggested that economic growth around the world is slowing. However, China’s export growth surprised the market this week and unexpectedly accelerated in April, even as shipments to the U.S. and Europe fell. (Read more…) This has created a conundrum for analysts and market watchers. How can China be growing while the countries that purchase its exports are slowing? The numbers don’t add up.

Digging deeper into these figures, several analysts have come to the conclusion that the numbers are faulty. Bank of America Corp. and Mizuho Securities Co. analysts have gone so far to say the figures have been inflated by fake reports. An “astounding” 92.9 percent jump in exports to Hong Kong, the most in 18 years, raises questions on data quality, researcher IHS Inc. said. They even call some of the data ‘absurd’, suggesting that exporters are ‘faking orders’ to obtain export-tax rebates. These observations challenge the credibility of Chinese economic data once again.

It is has been suggested that China’s robust appetite for commodities from iron ore to crude oil show that Chinese domestic demand is healthy, alleviating concerns about a renewed slowdown. China’s recent surge in gold imports puts this ‘increase in domestic demand’ observation into question. Our analysis shows that trade statistics are biased by the large gold inflows the country has experienced over the past few years. Because gold imports are accounted for in the “import” numbers of the current account (instead of the capital account like other investments), they artificially inflate the total import numbers published in the Financial Press. We say “inflate” because gold, unlike other materials, is mostly used for investment purposes and as such should not qualify as an import of “goods and services”, which is used to measure real economic activity. Now that China is importing significant quantities of gold, trade flow numbers are becoming more distorted.

When we strip out the ‘gold effect’, we find that 37% of the increase in imports over the last 12 months into China is due to the massive amount of gold that’s being imported. In Table A, gross imports increased by $82 billion, but $30 billion of this increase was from gold alone.  Put another way, more than one third of China’s import growth has been solely from its citizens’ desire to own gold and not from a growing domestic economy.

Table A

For the 12 months ending Gross Imports Gold Imports (tonnes) Value of Gold Imports Imports excl. Gold
  (USD Bn) (tonnes) (USD Bn) (USD Bn)
March 2012 1,772 546 32 1,740
March 2013 1,854 1,071 62 1,792
Change 82 525 30 52

Source: Bloomberg, General Administration of Customs (via Bloomberg), Census and Statistics Department – Hong Kong, Sprott Asset Management

Many analysts have attributed China’s increasing imports as signs of a healthy manufacturing sector, or increasing investments in infrastructure and property. Our simple analysis shows that more than one third of the increase in imports is due to China’s increasing gold consumption. We expect this will only increase in the near future when the explosion of gold buying in April is accounted for. New reports have suggested that Chinese housewives (affectionately known as ‘aunties’ according to the Beijing Daily newspaper) have purchased as much as 300 tons of gold in the past three weeks alone, worth almost $16 billion USD. This new gold buying could have a significant impact on Chinese import statistics and force analysts to reconsider the strength of the Chinese domestic economy.

    



 
Frontrunning: May 10
  • PBOC Says China Shouldn’t Be ’Blindly Optimistic’ on Inflation (BBG)
  • Foreigners Buying Half of London New Homes Prop Up Building (BBG) – first they come for the foreign deposits, then for the real assets…
  • Investors Rediscovering Margin Debt (WSJ) – well, yes: it is at record highs
  • Japanese investors switch to foreign bonds (FT)
  • (Read more…)

  • Japan’s Energy Costs Rise as Yen Weakens (WSJ) as reported here three months ago (ZH)
  • China issues new rules targeting wealth management fund pools (RTRS)
  • Navy $37 Billion Ships Seen Unsuitable Have 2-Year Window (BBG)
  • New York may have to drop claims against BofA over Merrill (RTRS)
  • FBI Rejects Boston Police Stance in Spat Over Terror Data (BBG)
  • Chief of UK’s biggest mutually-owned company resigns on fears it could require a bailout (WSJ)
  • In eastern Syria oil smugglers benefit from chaos (RTRS)
  • Icahn With Southeastern Challenges Silver Lake’s Dell Offer (BBG)
  • SEC Is Pressed to Revamp Executive Trading Plans (WSJ)
  • JPMorgan sued over credit card debt collecting (FT)
  • Netflix, Reed Hastings Survive Missteps to Join Silicon Valley’s Elite (BBG)
  • Temporary Workers Near U.S. Record Makes Kelly a Winner (BBG)
  • Leading Bulgaria parties tied before Sunday vote: poll (Reuters)

 

Overnight Media Digest

WSJ

* The federal deficit is shrinking faster than expected due to surging tax revenue and bailout paybacks, altering the budget debate.

* During his visit to Russia last year, deceased Boston bombing suspect Tamerlan Tsarnaev was coolly received by the Dagestan region’s Islamists, who found him to be brash.

* The Yen’s decline signals hopes for a more groundbreaking economic shift: the reversal of nearly two decades of stagnation, weak demand and declining prices.

* A multibillion-dollar settlement of a federal investigation into Johnson & Johnson’s sales practices is on hold, as J&J seeks to avoid wording in the agreement that could leave it vulnerable to private lawsuits.

* Futures regulators are close to an agreement that would end a months-long standoff over a central plank of the 2010 Dodd-Frank law and finally bring more transparency to the trading of swaps, the complex financial contracts at the heart of the financial crisis.

 

FT

A report by Kofi Annan’s Africa Progress Panel to be published on Friday criticises mining deals made by Eurasian Natural Resources Corp for “opaque concession trading” costing the Democratic Republic of Congo $750 million.

The Financial Reporting Council, the UK’s accounting watchdog, has launched two separate investigations into auditing firm KPMG – one relating to its audit of car dealer Pendragon and the other probing into a KPMG member’s shareholding in a client company.

British Prime Minister David Cameron took on critics in his party who demand Britain’s immediate exit from the European Union, reassuring international investors that the country’s future lay within the EU.

An influential committee of MPs recommended a third or possibly even a fourth runway at London’s Heathrow airport on Friday, boosting its controversial efforts to expand.

Chief Executive Stephen Hester is convinced that Royal Bank of Scotland is entering its last phase of repair ahead of reprivatisation, even after its poor first-quarter results last week.

 

NYT

* The Bank of Japan’s efforts to reinvigorate the nation’s economy are showing results, at least in the sinking value of the yen.

* Regulators outlined a proposal that could make Internet service on airplanes cheaper, at speeds up to 30 times faster than the service many people have in their homes.

* Mail Online, The Daily Mail’s site, has expanded on the news and business sides with offices in New York, and coverage of celebrities in Los Angeles.

* According to Delta Air Lines executives, the carrier’s bright and spacious new terminal at Kennedy Airport in New York reflects the industry’s new priorities. As financial health improves, airlines are trying to lure passengers with better amenities and service instead of the lowest fares.

* Merck and GlaxoSmithKline will charge less than $5 a dose to expand protection from the virus known as HPV to millions of girls in the poorest countries.

 

Canada

THE GLOBE AND MAIL

* Conservative backbenchers are pushing to reopen the abortion debate, despite public assurances by Prime Minister Stephen Harper that the issue is settled.

* Nova Scotia’s economic and rural development minister Percy Paris resigned from cabinet late Thursday night after he says he lost his composure during an incident at the provincial legislature involving an Opposition member.

Reports in the business section:

* Mark Jaccard, one of Canada’s top environmental economists, has a stark warning for the country’s oil sands producers: find ways to dramatically cut carbon emissions or risk becoming the buggy-whip producers of the 21st century.

NATIONAL POST

* Juan Ramon Fernandez, described by police in Canada as “a perfect gangster”, died the perfect Hollywood gangster death – ambushed by mob rivals, dying in a hail of bullets and his body burned in a field in the picturesque countryside outside Palermo, the historic capital city of Sicily.

* The steel trusses of a new multimillion dollar sawmill formed the backdrop for Liberal Leader Christy Clark as she touted her government’s forests strategy during a campaign whistlestop Thursday in Burns Lake, where little more than a year ago an explosion and fire at the previous mill devastated the community.

FINANCIAL POST

* Mobilicity is officially on the block and Telus Corp’s chief executive Darren Entwistle would consider buying what he calls a “nice to have” asset, depending on feedback from the government.

 

China

CHINA SECURITIES JOURNAL

- Net profit at 19 China A-share listed brokerages hit 1.52 billion yuan ($247.92 million) in April, down 22.7 percent from 1.97 billion yuan in March.

- China has raised the minimum limit of registered capital for insurance brokers and insurance agencies to 50 million yuan, China Insurance Regulatory Commission said.

CHINA DAILY

- The Ministry of Commerce is planning to assist manufacturers to identify “specific regions” in key emerging export markets, particularly in India and other BRICS nations, to replace lost business in the eurozone and the United States.

- Total overdue loans for China’s top 10 listed banks rose to 486.5 billion yuan ($79.3 billion) by the end of last year, up 29 percent from 2011, according to a report released by PwC.

- Beijing-based iResearch Consulting Group said Chinese shoppers spent 352 billion yuan ($57.4 billion) online in the first quarter of the year, a drop of 17.1 percent compared to the previous quarter. However, annual turnover should still reach 1.85 trillion yuan, the company said.

- Three people were killed and six injured in a landslide on Thursday near a village in Lushan county, Sichuan province. The landslide also blocked the road from Lushan county to Baoxing county in Ya’an city.

PEOPLE’S DAILY

- Chinese President Xi Jinping met visiting Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Thursday and pledged to make more efforts towards peace in the Middle East.

 

Corporate Finance

* Activist investor Carl Icahn and Southeastern Asset Management Inc, two of Dell Inc’s largest shareholders, have proposed an alternative to a $24.4 billion buyout deal led by founder Michael Dell, the Wall Street Journal reported.

* U.S. private equity firm Carlyle Group has submitted a bid for Anglo-Australian miner Rio Tinto’s 80 percent stake in the Northparkes copper mine in Australia, Dow Jones reported.

* China’s $482 billion sovereign wealth fund China Investment Corp is set to appoint a vice mayor of Shanghai as its new chairman, three sources with knowledge of the deal told Reuters.

* Banks have been approached about a potential syndicated loan to back the privatisation of Royal Mail Group, banking sources said on Thursday.

* Royal Dutch Shell and India’s Oil and Natural Gas Corp are exploring the possibility of a strategic tie-up to jointly bid for global oil and gas assets, the Economic Times reported.

* Bankers are looking towards the U.S. debt market to raise 900 million euros ($1.18 billion) for a buyout of industrial ceramics firm CeramTec, spurning Europe where risky debt is in shorter supply, bankers said on Thursday.

* French insurer Scor has emerged as the lead bidder for Generali’s U.S. life reinsurance business in a deal that could be announced shortly, two people familiar with the matter said.

 

Fly On The Wall 7:00 AM Market Snapshot

ANALYST RESEARCH

Upgrades

American Water (AWK) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup
Arkansas Best (ABFS) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup
Boston Scientific (BSX) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo
Edison International (EIX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup
Granite Construction (GVA) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman

Downgrades

AES Corp. (AES) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS
Atlas Energy (ATLS) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at RW Baird
Cablevision (CVC) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup
Dean Foods (DF) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Stephens
Dendreon (DNDN) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup
Grand Canyon (LOPE) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at RW Baird
LHC Group (LHCG) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank
Optimer (OPTR) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at RW Baird
Pinnacle West (PNW) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup
Rent-A-Center (RCII) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord
Salix (SLXP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Janney Capital
Shire (SHPG) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan

Initiations

3D Systems (DDD) initiated with a Buy at Janney Capital
Actavis (ACT) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital
Allergan (AGN) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital
Emeritus (ESC) initiated with an Outperform at Wells Fargo
Ensign Group (ENSG) initiated with a Market Perform at Wells Fargo
Forest Labs (FRX) initiated with an Underperform at BMO Capital
J2 Global (JCOM) initiated with an Outperform at Wedbush
Mylan (MYL) initiated with an Underperform at BMO Capital
Splunk (SPLK) initiated with a Market Perform at FBR Capital
Teva (TEVA) initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital
Workday (WDAY) initiated with an Outperform at Oppenheimer

HOT STOCKS

Icahn reported 4.52% stake in Dell (DELL), sent buyout proposal to board
JPMorgan(JPM) sued by California for “fraudulent, unlawful debt collection practices”
KeyBank (KEY) to acquire Bank of America (BAC) CMBS servicing portfolio, Berkadia CMBS business
AutoNavi (AMAP) announced strategic alliance with Alibaba (ALBCF)
Novartis (NVS) drug Ilaris approved by FDA
Amgen (AMGN), Zhejiang Beta Pharma announced joint venture in China

EARNINGS

Companies that beat consensus earnings expectations last night and today include:
Great Plains Energy (GXP), Nelnet (NNI), Darling (DAR), Molycorp (MCP), NVIDIA (NVDA), Stifel Financial (SF), MBIA (MBI), CareFusion (CFN), priceline.com (PCLN), bebe stores (BEBE)

Companies that missed consensus earnings expectations include:
Sterling Construction (STRL), AutoNavi (AMAP), AuRico Gold (AUQ), Flotek (FTK), Allscripts (MDRX), Sotheby’s (BID)

Companies that matched consensus earnings expectations include:
Lexicon Pharmaceuticals (LXRX), Stellus Capital (SCM), Air Lease (AL)

NEWSPAPERS/WEBSITES

  • Small investors are borrowing against their portfolios at a rapid rate, reaching levels of debt not seen since the financial crisis. The trend, driven by rising stock values and low interest rates, is sparking a growing debate among market watchers, the Wall Street Journal reports
  • Disney’s (DIS) cable sports channel ESPN has had discussions with at least one major U.S. carrier to subsidize wireless connectivity on behalf of its smartphone users, sources say. Under one potential scenario, the company would pay a carrier to guarantee that people viewing ESPN mobile content wouldn’t have that usage counted toward their monthly data caps, the Wall Street Journal reports
  • China’s bond market regulator closed a loophole that allowed banks that sell high-yielding wealth management products to evade regulatory requirements by moving money between the WMP accounts they manage and their own proprietary accounts, sources say, Reuters reports
  • Dish Network (DISH) lined up Jefferies Group to help it finance its $25.5B bid for Sprint Nextel (S) as it tries to convince the company its offer is better than Softbank’s (SFTBF), sources say, Bloomberg reports
  • Toyota’s (TM) years of fighting the yen is over, at least for now. The weakening yen breached 100 against the dollar in U.S. trading yesterday, opening the way for Japan to emerge from an unprecedented and largely uninterrupted five-year stretch where the currency’s appreciation beyond that level roiled exporters and their ability to sell cars and other products abroad, Bloomberg reports

SYNDICATE

3D Systems (DDD) 7.5M share Secondary priced at $40.00
Apollo Global (APO) 21.1M share Secondary priced at $25.00
Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) files $1.5B mixed securities shelf
BioAmber (BIOA) 8M Unit IPO priced at $11.00
Capital Acquisition (CLACU) 18M Unit IPO priced at $10
Discovery Labs (DSCO) files to sell common stock
First NBC Bank (NBCB) 4.17M share IPO priced at $24.00
Franklin Street (FSP) 15M share Secondary priced at $14.00
Omeros (OMER) announces $16.2M registered direct offering
Preferred Apartment (APTS) files to sell 5.71M shares for holders
Santarus (SNTS) files to sell common stock for Cosmo Technologies
Tornier (TRNX) 7M share Secondary priced at $16.15
U.S. Auto Parts (PRTS) files to sell 5.05M shares of common stock for holders
Venaxis (APPY) files to sell $23M of common stock